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White Sox need to hold off Astros' surge in AL Playoff Picture as season hits final stretch

The Guardians aren't the only team the White Sox need to outplay down the stretch
ByNoah Phalen
Sep 3, 2026; Houston, Texas, USA; Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Luis Castillo (58) walks from the bullpen to the dugout before pitching against the Houston Astros in at Daikin Park. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-Imagn Images
Sep 3, 2026; Houston, Texas, USA; Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Luis Castillo (58) walks from the bullpen to the dugout before pitching against the Houston Astros in at Daikin Park. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

With 19 games to go and the Chicago White Sox in first place in the American League Central, all eyes are on the Cleveland Guardians as the main obstacle standing in their way.  The Twins and Tigers have fallen to the periphery of the race, leaving the Guardians as the only thing between the White Sox and their first division title since 2021. Entering Tuesday, three games separate the two teams, and a final three-game set in Cleveland next week could be the deciding matchup. It’s not only the division title in the White Sox sights, however. If the season ended today, Chicago would earn the AL’s number two seed and receive a free pass to the ALDS. 

For all the talk of the American League Central being baseball’s worst division, there’s very little buzz surrounding the division that’s even worse: the AL West. The Houston Astros, who have already fired their general manager and told manager Joe Espada that he won’t be returning next year, are in first place with a two game lead over the Texas Rangers. Houston currently sits at 73-71, with the White Sox at 75-68, a difference of 2.5 games. The White Sox and Astros have concluded their season series against each other, with Houston winning five of the seven games. That means Houston will get the higher seed in the event of a tie between the two clubs. 

Landing AL 2-seed is incredibly important for White Sox playoff viability

If you’re the White Sox, winning the division and making the postseason is obviously priority number one. But landing the second seed and automatically advancing past the Wild Card round is nearly as important. This would give the White Sox nearly a week of rest between their regular season finale and their first Postseason game, and it would guarantee home field advantage in the ALDS. With pitchers like Sean Burke and Davis Martin already at or approaching their career-high in innings, and the starting pitching success being the most crucial factor for the White Sox, getting a few extra days of rest could help make sure the starters are fresh for the Postseason. 

If you look at the remaining schedules, the White Sox seem to have the advantage. Outside of the Cleveland series, the White Sox’ remaining games are against Pittsburgh, St. Louis, Kansas City, Detroit, and Colorado. None of those teams are currently in the Postseason picture, and the White Sox have a better record than all of them. Meanwhile, Houston has Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Atlanta, Seattle, and the A’s. Three of those teams are likely to make the playoffs, so it’s a much tougher final stretch for the Astros. A 2.5 game cushion gives the White Sox the edge. Let’s say they go 10-9 in their final 19 games, Houston would have to go 12-6 to tie them and earn the second seed with a tougher schedule. 

The White Sox are so close to a playoff berth that they can taste it, but the job isn’t finished. The southsiders need to take care of business against teams they should beat down the stretch. The team will follow the same approach they’ve had all season long that’s gotten them this far: taking it one game at a time.

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