Chicago White Sox: What is wrong with the starting rotation?
May 6, 2015; Chicago, IL, USA; Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Chris Sale (49) throws a pitch against the Detroit Tigers during the third inning at U.S Cellular Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports
(Editor’s note: All stats are before games on Saturday.)
Going into the season, the Chicago White Sox were supposed to have at least a solid starting rotation. While the back end of it was going to be a bit shaky, the first three were supposed to carry the load.
That hasn’t happened. Here is some analysis as to what is going on with the White Sox starters.
To start, they have the third-worst ERA among starters in all of baseball. While I doubt that will be the case at the end of the year, it is troubling that they got off to such a horrible start.
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Chris Sale, who is the team’s ace and one of the best pitchers in all of baseball, has an ERA of 5.93. His last two starts have been awful, as the Minnesota Twins and Detroit Tigers have hit him hard.
Here are some theories as to why Sale may be having some trouble early in the year.
Considering the fact that his spring training routine was disrupted by a foot injury, he may be going through a dead arm period. Since he hasn’t lost any velocity, I doubt he is injured, but here is another factor.
Sale has been throwing fewer sliders this year, which may be his best pitch. I understand the fact that the White Sox want to limit his use of the slider due to injury, but there is a risk/reward involved. If he doesn’t throw it enough, he won’t be as effective.
Another issue is the fact that he is overthrowing in the first inning, as he is hitting 98 MPH on the radar gun. If he can throw more sliders, but not too many and not overthrow, Sale should get back to normal. Not to mention the fact that it may be a dead arm.
Next: Jeff Samardzija and a roller coaster year
May 5, 2015; Chicago, IL, USA; Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Jeff Samardzija (29) throws a pitch against the Detroit Tigers during the first inning at U.S Cellular Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports
Jeff Samardzija has yet to live up to expectations either for the South Siders.
With a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 4.38, he has just as many good starts as poor ones. That is something I do not expect to continue.
Samardzija may not be an ace, but his career would indicate the fact that he should at least be able to give the White Sox at least 12 wins and an ERA of 3.50. Samardzija has struggled with the command of his slider, causing him to be hit hard.
Jose Quintana is usually dependable for the White Sox but is also off to a slow start. He only has one win so far and has an ERA of 5.03, which is well above his career norm.
One thing he could do is pick up the pace with runners on base. He seems to have done that over his last three starts, and the results have been good. His ERA dropped from 8.40 to 5.03, which is more than three full runs if you do the math.
Quintana needs to pitch quickly and to contact. If he can do that, he will pitch deep into games, as well as string together some quality outings. While Quintana is the king of no decisions, I think if he can start lasting a bit longer in games, he might pick up a few more wins.
Next: Will Carlos Rodon replace Hector Noesi?
May 2, 2015; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Hector Noesi (48) walks along the dugout during the game with the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The Twins win 5-3. Mandatory Credit: Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports
The back of the White Sox rotation has been as bad as advertised. Hector Noesi has made three starts, lost all three and has an ERA of 6.75.
While I think his ERA will end up being lower than that, but I doubt it will be much below 5.00.
John Danks is another problem, who has a 1-3 record and a 6.20 ERA. Danks has at least been OK twice, having quality starts versus Cleveland and Kansas City. However, he has been awful on the road, considering the fact that he has yet to pitch six full innings in a game.
Carlos Rodon could enter the rotation at some point over the next month or two. If he pitches decent in the doubleheader versus the Reds Saturday, Rodon could replace Noesi due to the fact that Danks at least can give the White Sox a quality start about half the time.
The White Sox rotation is due for a big improvement. When that happens, I don’t know, but with the top three in the rotation, it is unlikely that this staff will be in the bottom five when it comes to ERA at the end of the season.
Next: White Sox vs. Reds preview